A bitcoin value indicator is about to show bullish for the primary time because the early phases of the 2016-17 bull market.
The 50-candle shifting common (MA) on bitcoin’s three-day chart is in a stable upward trajectory and appears set to cross above the 200-candle MA within the subsequent few days.
That will be the primary golden crossover on the three-day chart since early February 2016. CoinDesk reported on a golden cross for bitcoin’s day by day chart again in April.
Seasoned merchants usually consult with that long-term bull market sign as a lagging indicator. In any case, the MA research are primarily based on historic knowledge and have a tendency to lag costs, which additionally means they’ve restricted predictive skills at finest.
Whereas that’s true for many crossovers, the one that’s about to occur on the three-day chart has proved its mettle as a dependable bull market indicator previously.
Three-day chart (2016-2017)
The 50- and 200-candle MAs produced a bullish crossover in three days to Feb. Three, 2016, following which bitcoin’s value charted its solution to a report excessive of $20,000 by December 2017.
A better have a look at the chart reveals that the low of $360 printed just a few weeks earlier than the golden crossover was by no means put to check once more. Actually, the 50-candle MA persistently reversed pullbacks (marked by arrows) all through the rise from $360 (February 2016 low) to the report excessive of $20,000.
What’s extra, the bullish crossover occurred 5 months forward of the mining reward halving of July 2016 and 13 months after bitcoin bottomed out close to $150.
This time the MAs are about to supply a bull cross at the very least three quarters forward of the reward halving, due someday in Could 2020, and seven months after the bear market ran out of steam close to $Three,100.
Three-day chart (2019)
As of writing, the upward sloping (bullish) 50-candle MA is situated at $6,566 and the 200-candle MA is flatlined at $7,438.
The golden crossover will probably occur earlier than the month finish, until costs drop all the way in which again to $5,000, dragging the 50-candle MA decrease. That, nonetheless, is unlikely to occur anytime quickly.
If historical past is a information, then the affirmation of the golden crossover might be adopted by a rally to report highs above $20,000. Additional, all through the rally, the 50-candle MA will probably function robust help.
Disclosure: The creator holds no cryptocurrency belongings on the time of writing.
Bull’s eye picture through Shutterstock; charts by Buying and selling View